Clouds of pixels and barrels of ink are emitted on speculation as to how democrat superdelegates will vote, and what criteria they will use to inform that vote.
We hear from them that “electability” is important. What most of those superdelegates mean to do when they cast this line of thought is have the listeners own mind catch upon Ms. Clinton’s fairly impressive negatives. If I were a superdelegate disposed to support Obama, though, I would probably stop this justification.
Look at the following poll data is three key swing states both parties covet in the general election. Who do you think is more electable amongst the two democrat candidates for president?
PENNSYLVANIA
|
Poll
|
Date |
Sample |
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
02/21 – 03/10 |
- |
44.6 |
42.4 |
10.8 |
McCain +2.2 |
| Rasmussen |
03/10 – 03/10 |
500 LV |
44 |
43 |
13 |
McCain +1.0 |
| Susquehanna |
03/05 – 03/10 |
700 RV |
45 |
41 |
10 |
McCain +4.0 |
| Strategic Vision (R) |
03/07 – 03/09 |
1,200 LV |
47 |
44 |
9 |
McCain +3.0 |
| SurveyUSA |
02/26 – 02/28 |
608 RV |
47 |
42 |
10 |
McCain +5.0 |
| Quinnipiac |
02/21 – 02/25 |
1872 RV |
40 |
42 |
12 |
Obama +2.0 |
|
|
|
|
Poll
|
Date |
Sample |
Clinton (D) |
McCain (R) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
03/05 – 03/18 |
- |
46.0 |
46.7 |
4.8 |
McCain +0.7 |
| CBS News |
03/15 – 03/18 |
RV |
46 |
44 |
6 |
Clinton +2.0 |
| CNN |
03/14 – 03/16 |
950 RV |
49 |
47 |
– |
Clinton +2.0 |
| USA Today/Gallup |
03/14 – 03/15 |
685 LV |
51 |
46 |
2 |
Clinton +5.0 |
| Reuters/Zogby |
03/13 – 03/14 |
1004 LV |
40 |
48 |
– |
McCain +8.0 |
| NBC/WSJ |
03/07 – 03/10 |
1,012 RV |
47 |
45 |
4 |
Clinton +2.0 |
| Cook/RT Strategies |
03/06 – 03/09 |
802 RV |
45 |
47 |
6 |
McCain +2.0 |
| Newsweek |
03/05 – 03/06 |
1,215 RV |
48 |
46 |
– |
Clinton +2.0 |
| Gallup (Wed) |
5 Day Tracking |
4376 RV |
45 |
48 |
3 |
McCain +3.0 |
| Rasmussen (Wed) |
4 Day Tracking |
1700 LV |
43 |
49 |
8 |
McCain +6.0 |
|
OHIO
|
Polling Data
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
03/13 – 03/17 |
- |
48.3 |
41.3 |
10.3 |
McCain +7.0 |
| PPP (D) |
03/15 – 03/17 |
629 LV |
49 |
41 |
10 |
McCain +8.0 |
| SurveyUSA |
03/14 – 03/16 |
532 RV |
50 |
43 |
7 |
McCain +7.0 |
| Rasmussen |
03/13 – 03/13 |
500 LV |
46 |
40 |
14 |
McCain +6.0 |
|
|
Polling Data
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
03/13 – 03/17 |
- |
44.7 |
45.0 |
10.3 |
Clinton +0.3 |
| PPP (D) |
03/15 – 03/17 |
629 LV |
44 |
45 |
11 |
Clinton +1.0 |
| SurveyUSA |
03/14 – 03/16 |
532 RV |
44 |
50 |
6 |
Clinton +6.0 |
| Rasmussen |
03/13 – 03/13 |
500 LV |
46 |
40 |
14 |
McCain +6.0 |
| |
|
FLORIDA
|
Polling Data
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
02/21 – 03/16 |
- |
47.8 |
41.0 |
11.3 |
McCain +6.8 |
| PPP (D) |
03/15 – 03/16 |
618 LV |
50 |
39 |
11 |
McCain +11.0 |
| Rasmussen |
03/12 – 03/12 |
500 LV |
47 |
43 |
10 |
McCain +4.0 |
| SurveyUSA |
02/26 – 02/28 |
632 RV |
47 |
45 |
8 |
McCain +2.0 |
| Mason-Dixon |
02/21 – 02/24 |
625 RV |
47 |
37 |
16 |
McCain +10.0 |
| |
|
|
Polling Data
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
McCain (R) |
Clinton (D) |
Und |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
02/21 – 03/16 |
- |
46.3 |
43.5 |
10.3 |
McCain +2.8 |
| PPP (D) |
03/15 – 03/16 |
618 LV |
47 |
43 |
10 |
McCain +4.0 |
| Rasmussen |
03/12 – 03/12 |
500 LV |
47 |
40 |
13 |
McCain +7.0 |
| SurveyUSA |
02/26 – 02/28 |
633 RV |
42 |
51 |
7 |
Clinton +9.0 |
| Mason-Dixon |
02/21 – 02/24 |
625 RV |
49 |
40 |
11 |
McCain +9.0 |
| |
|
Categories: Democrat Convention · Democrat Super-Delegates · Democratic Super-Delegates · Hillary · Hillary Clinton · Obama · Polling
